Author, biologist, teacher, and chronically wrong prognosticator Paul Ehrlich died on March 13, 2026. That was Friday the Thirteenth. Dr. Ehrlich famously predicted that we were all going to die due to overpopulation and shortages of resources, which are really the same thing I guess. Unfortunately, scads of people believed the predictions he made in The Population Bomb, published in 1968. These included lots of otherwise intelligent people, including authors of science fiction. Even Earl Butz, definitely no liberal, leftist, or progressive, believed him.* I admit that I believed him, too, but that was when I was in high school many years later and overpopulation was part of the received and accepted narrative of the 1970s and '80s. In short, I didn't know any better.
Among the results of a belief in overpopulation were the Star Trek episode "The Mark of Gideon," broadcast on January 17, 1969, and the movie Soylent Green, released on April 19, 1973, which was just three months after Roe v. Wade was decided. We should note that Soylent Green was based on Harry Harrison's novel Make Room! Make Room!, first published in 1966, and so overpopulation was on people's minds for at least a few years before Dr. Ehrlich wrote.
Update No. 1: I wrote this entry in early to mid April 2026. In late April, I read stories by J.G. Ballard for our weird fiction/science fiction book club. One of those is called "Billenium," and it was published in New Worlds Science Fiction in November 1961. It's about life in a vastly overpopulated city of the future, and so overpopulation as a science-fictional issue dates from as early as 1961.
To continue . . .
Paul Ehrlich died of cancer, in other words, by an overpopulation of certain cells within his own body. I guess he was right in a way about overpopulation. Here is a quote from him that employs the cancer/overpopulation metaphor: "As I've said many times, 'perpetual growth is the creed of the cancer cell.'" What a nice thought: human beings--you and I and everyone we know and love--are as a cancer upon the earth.
Update No. 2: J.G. Ballard used a cancer metaphor in his story "Chronopolis," published in New Worlds in June 1960. One of his characters, a time policemen named Stacey, says:
"Time! Only by synchronizing every activity, every footstep forward or backward, every meal, bus-halt and telephone call, could the organism support itself. Like the cells in your body, which proliferate into mortal cancers if allowed to grow in freedom, every individual here had to subserve the overriding needs of the city or fatal bottlenecks threw it into total chaos. [. . .]"If allowed to grow in freedom. That seems to be the real heartburn of the people who support zero-population growth or reductions in the human population, for like totalitarians everywhere, they despise human freedom. To them, freedom is chaotic--and there must be order.
To continue again . . .
There are still lots of people who believe that Ehrlich was essentially right, even if they might admit that he was wrong in his particulars. Still others were not especially charitable when it came to his death. Like them, I'm not sure that he deserved much charity. He was, after all, anti-human. To put it in comic-book movie terms, he was Thanos. In other words, he was against us, and like one of the principal authors of the so-called "New Weird," he wanted us to be diminished. Anyway, I have the quote above from an essay written by Aubrey Harris on the website The American Spectator and published on March 18, 2026. She concluded her essay, entitled "The Horrific Legacy of Paul Ehrlich" (here), with these words:
And so, Ehrlich doesn't get a generous obituary willing to overlook his few faults. His legacy wasn't that he was horribly wrong about his apocalyptic predictions, but that those predictions gave intellectual legitimacy and a "scientific" basis for killing hundreds of millions of innocent babies and the forced sterilization of so many helpless women--facts that never persuaded him to back down on those predictions or his radical political prescriptions.
"Overpopulation" is an opinion, interpretation, or value judgment. It is not a scientific fact. But as we have seen almost since its beginnings in the nineteenth century, science is often debased into pseudoscience, very often for political purposes, which are in turn very often murderous and oppressive in their intent and results.
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*Earl Butz (1909-2008) was a fellow Hoosier and a graduate of Purdue University. He served as Secretary of Agriculture under Richard Nixon.
**The American Spectator was founded by another fellow Hoosier, R. Emmett Tyrell, Jr. Though born in Chicago, Mr. Tyrell attended Indiana University. He is also a fellow Irishman. He and my uncle shared first and middle names, but then a lot of Irishmen are named Robert Emmet(t).
Update No. 3 (May 7, 2026): Ted Turner died on May 6, 2026, at age eighty-seven. Among his many issues was overpopulation. He was also an atheist. On May 2, 2026, Boris Johnson (b. 1964) wrote that "falling birth rates aren't a disaster, they're the best bit of global news in a long time." Maybe he learned his population control shtick from his father. Well, at least there was Brexit.
Original text copyright 2026 Terence E. Hanley







